Ohtani’s Batting Average Sep 2024

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Posted on Friday, September 20, 2024
Yesterday, Shohei Ohtani had a game for the ages.
The baseball particulars speak for themselves. Let’s look at the one-day change in his batting average.

We know his preceding average:

170 hits in 593 at bats, therefore $\framebox{P} \approx 0.287$

We know he went 6 for 6 during the game $\framebox{G} = 1.000$

What is his succeeding batting average, $\framebox{S}$ ?

Legend

$\fbox{P} = \text{preceding average (before the game)}$

$\fbox{G} = \text{game average}$
$\fbox{S} = \text{succeeding average (after the game)}$
Refer to my blog post On Average Jun 2022, Example 7.

In one line, we can easily calculate: $\framebox{S} = \fbox{P} + \displaystyle\frac{{\Large6}\cdot(\fbox{G}-\fbox{P})}{({\Large593}+{\Large6})}$

See my hand calculations below for a step by step approach.

How much did his average jump?

Again, in one line: $\framebox{JUMP} = \displaystyle\frac{{\Large6}\cdot(\fbox{G}-\fbox{P})}{({\Large593}+{\Large6})} = 0.007145 \approx\textbf{ 7 points}$

An advanced student familiar with this method wouldn’t do all the calculations in precise steps.

Rather, the student would recognize:

  • at-bats are approximately 600
  • 6 for 6 is batting 1000
  • $(1000-\fbox{P}) = (1000- 287) \approx \textbf{700}$
  • $\displaystyle \frac{\Large6}{\Large600} = \textbf{1 %}$

Therefore, the jump would be $700 \cdot \text{1 %} = \textbf{ 7 points}$

Today is September 28, 2024

In the last 9 days, Ohtani has had 24 hits in 34 at bats — a 0.706 average!

He has raised his batting average to 0.309 — an increase of 22 points !!

He now has 54 homers and 57 stolen bases, with 2 games left in the regular season.




Enjoy!

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